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Wall Street's Quantum Computing Stock Frenzy

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This week, Google made waves in the tech world by unveiling its latest quantum chip, named WillowAccording to the tech giant, this innovative chip is capable of drastically reducing errors exponentially as the number of quantum bits, or qubits, increasesComparing its advancements to its predecessor which was introduced in 2019, Google claims that Willow represents a significant breakthrough in the field of quantum computingFollowing this announcement, shares of Google’s parent company, Alphabet, skyrocketed, elevating investor sentiment surrounding quantum technologyHowever, analysts caution that while the enthusiasm is contagious, true commercial applicability of quantum computing is still a distant reality, reminding investors to temper their excitement.

On Wednesday, Alphabet's stock rose by 4% after a nearly 6% gain the previous dayOver the last five days, shares have jumped approximately 13%. This surge is part of a larger trend; companies involved in quantum computing are witnessing remarkable stock performances

Notably, Rigetti Computing, a lesser-known competitor, experienced a staggering 45% spike on Tuesday and achieved new heights on Wednesday, bringing its year-to-date increase to over 659%. Moreover, the Defiance Quantum ETF has also seen significant gains from stocks like MicroStrategy and D-Wave Quantum, which ascended by 538% and 355%, respectively, this year.

Additionally, the stock prices of companies such as Nvidia, Lightwave Logic, IonQ, and RadNet have more than doubled this year, reflecting an amplified interest in quantum technologyIt’s essential to note that, while quantum computing is not entirely new, its relevance is surging due to the increase in data used to train large language modelsQuantum computing leverages qubits, which can represent a multitude of states simultaneously, far surpassing the simplicity of current binary bitsThis inherent complexity allows quantum computers to undertake calculations beyond the capacity of existing technologies, a capability that could revolutionize fields such as drug discovery, ultra-precise weather forecasting, and cryptographic security.

As investors are keenly pursuing the next big opportunity in generative artificial intelligence, the ripple effects following the launch of ChatGPT two years ago continue to influence market behaviors

There is a palpable eagerness among investors to identify stocks poised to benefit from the advancements in quantum technologyEric Jackson of EMJ Capital even described quantum computing as “the next big theme” on social media platform X, expressing confidence in Rigetti Computing’s substantial prospects.

Nevertheless, it is crucial to recognize, as Google itself has pointed out, that the path to commercial viability in quantum computing still has significant obstacles to overcomeHartmut Neven, the head of Google Quantum AI, noted in a blog post earlier this week that the next challenge for the field is to demonstrate a ‘practical quantum advantage’ that is meaningful for real-world applications with the currently existing quantum chips.

Alphabet’s CEO, Sundar Pichai, mentioned in a post on social media that Willow is an essential step on the journey towards building a practical quantum computer with real-world applications in areas like drug discovery, fusion energy, and battery design

This raised eyebrows on the recent 12% gain in Alphabet's stock, especially as investor interest also seemed to spike following Tesla CEO Elon Musk's enthusiastic response, characterized by a simple 'wow', to a post concerning Google’s quantum chipAccording to Vanda Research, the trading volume for Alphabet’s call options on Tuesday reached its second-highest level of the year, illustrating notable investor engagement.

Google is in urgent need of positive momentum, especially as the company is currently facing a multitude of challengesThese range from anxiety regarding its competitive standing in generative AI to legislative concerns about a potential breakup of the company, which have cast a shadow on Alphabet's stock performanceUp until this week, Alphabet’s stock had been lagging behind most of its tech counterparts and the annual performances of benchmark indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

Currently, Alphabet stands out as the only tech giant with a price-to-earnings ratio below 20. In stark contrast, its competitors such as Meta Platforms show ratios around 25, while Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Nvidia all exceed 30.

While quantum computing might not offer immediate solutions to Google’s existing challenges, analysts agree that this news serves as a potent reminder of the company’s robust capabilities in technological innovation

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Justin Post from BofA Securities noted that “the advancements represented by the Willow chip underscore Alphabet’s position at the forefront of technological innovation, which is vital to market sentiment.” Colin Sebastian from Robert WBaird further added, “Though it may be years before quantum computing sees widespread commercial use, the newly launched Willow quantum chip showcases Google’s leadership in quantum research.”

However, investment caution is advised by Paul Meeks from Harvest Portfolio Management, who urges stakeholders not to become overly exuberant based on recent gainsHe points out the need for real application cases that can yield profits, emphasizing that while the technological progress is encouraging, substantial valuations should not be assigned hastily to these companies based solely on announcementsHe likened the current situation to late 2022 when stocks of companies like Nvidia and C3.ai were driven high only to face a correction later

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